Coach Pop Prop Report: Spurs, Celtics - 1/10/26

Based on the latest betting lines and statistical trends for tonight’s Spurs vs. Celtics matchup, here is a breakdown of the prop bet landscape and predictions using data driven by AI.

Game Lines

• Spread: Spurs -1

• Over/Under: 230.5 

• Moneyline: Spurs -118 | Celtics +100

Top Player Prop Predictions

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

• Points: O/U 20.5 (Season Average: 24.2)

• Prediction: Over. Wembanyama is averaging nearly 4 points higher than this line. With the Celtics missing Jayson Tatum’s interior help defense, Wemby should have more room to operate near the rim.

• Blocks: O/U 2.5 (Season Average: 2.9)

• Prediction: Over. Boston leads the league in three-point attempts, often leading to long rebounds and secondary drives where Wembanyama excels as a help-side eraser.

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

• Points: O/U 28.5 (Season Average: 29.6) 

• Prediction: Under. While Brown is the primary offensive option tonight, the Spurs allow the fewest points in the NBA to opposing starting small forwards (8.6 PPG). Expect San Antonio to throw Stephon Castle and heavy double-teams at him all night. 

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

• Points: O/U 19.5 (Season Average: 21.0) 

• Prediction: Under. Fox has been excellent, but he faces a grueling matchup against Derrick White. Projection models suggest a slight dip tonight (around 18.9 points) due to Boston’s ability to slow the game to a "lethargic" pace.

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

• Points: O/U 17.5 (Season Average: 17.7)

• Prediction: Over. Castle has been a revelation lately, and with Devin Vassell out, his usage rate has spiked. He is increasingly looking for his own shot in transition.

Quick Betting Insights

• The "Under" Trend: While the total is high (230.5), the Celtics play at the slowest pace in the league. If Boston successfully dictates the tempo, the game could easily fall under the total.

• Rest Advantage: The Spurs enter this game rested, while the Celtics are on the back end of a back-to-back. Historically, this favors the Spurs' defensive intensity in the second half.